The digital economy refers to an economy based on digital computing technologies. The most valuable resource in a digital economy is not labor or capital, but highly talented, innovative people. For example, Jeff Bezos started Amazon as an online bookstore in 1994 and Steve Job started Apple from his father’s garage. Digital technologies make labor and capital become commodities as innovators and entrepreneurs reap a bigger share of rewards from ideas. A small number of players reap a very large share of the rewards, up-ending the global economy with their winner-take-most returns. Whenever a product, service or process is captured in software and digitized, they become digital capital and their business can be scaled up and expanded quickly. They can be perfectly replicated and transmitted almost instantaneously anywhere in the world at marginal costs. And network effects make them more valuable the more users they have such as Facebook and Whatsapp. A small number of companies dominate the rest of their competitors in their particular market and generally take over 70% of total market share leaving everyone else to split the remaining 30%. Facebook is the dominant social media platform which lets you post your photos, social activities, and create a network of friends. In turn, Facebook collects and sells your data to advertisers. Facebook market share of social media is 69.9% and its competitors, Twitter and Pinterest, have market share of 9.6% and 8.9% respectively. Other examples include Google which dominates the market with its search engine platform and Amazon which is a market leader in the e-commerce market. Winners are winning at almost triple the speed since 2000, while losers are losing faster than ever. A company destined to reach a $1 billion dollar valuation, will do so now in one-third the time that it would have taken it just a dozen years ago– 2.9 years in the 2009-2013 era versus 8.5 years in the 2000-2003 era. The digital economy has allowed many technopreneurs to become billionaires at a much faster speed compared to entrepreneurs running a traditional business. For example, Lee Ka Shing with a net worth of USD$31.9 billion took 65 years to make his fortune through his group of companies, such as Cheung Kong and Hutchison Whampoa. Jack Ma a Chinese technopreneur started Alibaba in 1999 and he took 16 years to make his fortune of USD$29.7 billion.
In the digital economy, information technology and online access have created a level playing field for retail investors. Smart phones, smart tablets, internet, and social media have allow investors to get financial information, ideas, news, and stock tips on a 24/7 basis. WhatsApp, Twitter and Telegram have made it easy for investors to share investment ideas and research. Financial websites such as Bloomberg, Reuters, and Yahoo Finance provide investors with a huge amount of economics, business and financial news to support their investment decision. Investment tools like Seeking Alpha and Guru Focus provide investors with stock analysis tools and risk assessment of their portfolio. The knowledgeable retail investors who are willing to embrace digital technology, social media, and the internet and put in effort to do some basic research will be rewarded with good investment returns.
Back in 2015, I was reading the MIT Technology Review which listed the 50 smartest companies of the year. Number 1 on the list was Tesla. Netflix, Google, Amazon and Apple were listed at number 10, 12, 13 and 16 respectively. Chinese companies like Xiaomi, Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu were listed at number 2, 4, 7 and 21 respectively. If you have put effort in tracking and studying the development of these companies and invested in them, you would have achieved multi-bagger (more than 100%) return on your investment today.
The following chart shows the market capitalization (number of shares multiplied by share price) of some of these “Top 50 Smartest Companies” from 2015 to 2021 to give you an idea of how much they are worth now:The above chart shows that Amazon, Alphabet and Apple have become a one trillion market capitalization company since 2020. The companies that have potential to grow to a one trillion market capitalization company are Facebook, Tesla, Alibaba, and Tencent. It is worthwhile to track the development of Netflix, Nvidia, Xiaomi, and Baidu as they have potential to achieve a multi-bagger return in future.
Recently, I read the list of “10 Breakthrough Technologies 2021” published by MIT Technologies Review.
1. Messenger RNA Vaccine
2. GPT-3
3. Tik-Tok Recommendation Algorithms
4. Lithium-Metal Batteries
5. Data Trust
6. Green Hydrogen
7. Digital Contact Tracing
8. Hyper-Accurate Positioning
9. Remote Everything
10. Multi-Skilled AI.
Based on the list of “10 Breakthrough Technologies 2021,” two companies that come to my mind are Moderna and Tik Tok. Moderna has a messenger RNA technology platform for vaccines development and its current market capitalization of US $63 billion has good potential to go up as it rolls out more novel vaccines in future. Tik-Tok is a social media platform for creating, sharing and discovering short videos. Tik Tok is owned by China-based ByteDance which is considering a public listing this year.
In conclusion, knowing what the digital economy is all about and taking an interest to read up on technological trend and reviews can offer you good insight and invest in the future to make your multi-bagger return. With a smart phone and laptop, one can easily find the latest information and research reports to invest in future business winners.